| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.83 | 51.5% | 50.37 | 52.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 124.53 | 48.2% | 60.00 | 50.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.70 | 46.2% | 14.20 | 53.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.97 | 45.3% | 19.03 | 54.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.77 | 43.8% | 35.83 | 55.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.49 | 41.5% | 46.22 | 57.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 129.30 | 38.6% | 49.87 | 59.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 171.03 | 35.1% | 60.00 | 63.0% |
The condition is on the daily high at station EGLL over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →