| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 123.66 | 48.5% | 60.00 | 50.1% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 45.07 | 46.4% | 20.92 | 47.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.62 | 53.8% | 14.86 | 45.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.45 | 53.1% | 14.58 | 46.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.71 | 46.0% | 44.51 | 47.2% |
The condition is on the daily high at station EGLL over its local calendar day 2026-11-11 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →