| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.36 | 63.6% | 60.00 | 35.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.82 | 61.3% | 60.00 | 37.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.63 | 59.3% | 42.48 | 39.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 131.20 | 40.0% | 52.45 | 41.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 32.86 | 61.2% | 20.11 | 38.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.03 | 60.6% | 10.32 | 39.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 159.08 | 37.7% | 60.00 | 39.6% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 177.20 | 33.9% | 60.00 | 35.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →