| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.66 | 75.3% | 60.00 | 23.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.31 | 73.8% | 60.00 | 25.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.13 | 72.2% | 60.00 | 27.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.42 | 70.6% | 50.42 | 28.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.05 | 68.9% | 60.00 | 30.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.55 | 67.0% | 60.00 | 32.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.36 | 65.0% | 60.00 | 34.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.55 | 62.8% | 60.00 | 36.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.19 | 60.5% | 60.00 | 38.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →