| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 65.86 | 50.4% | 33.20 | 51.2% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 18.62 | 49.4% | 9.19 | 49.6% |
| 5 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 50.46 | 48.5% | 24.47 | 49.1% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.61 | 46.5% | 49.61 | 47.9% |
| 8 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.25 | 54.5% | 12.13 | 45.2% |
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 136.12 | 44.1% | 60.00 | 45.8% |
| 11 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.61 | 57.0% | 28.27 | 42.4% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.97 | 43.1% | 18.09 | 43.6% |
The condition is on the daily high at station LFPG over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-11-12 23:00 UTC on the next hourly run.