| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.29 | 64.7% | 44.86 | 65.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.49 | 62.8% | 60.00 | 63.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.12 | 60.5% | 60.00 | 61.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.28 | 58.1% | 60.00 | 59.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.11 | 55.6% | 55.12 | 56.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.25 | 53.0% | 60.00 | 54.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →