| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.24 | 47.6% | 27.23 | 51.7% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.82 | 46.3% | 22.58 | 53.1% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.85 | 54.0% | 15.04 | 54.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 35.27 | 45.9% | 16.19 | 53.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.84 | 44.4% | 39.41 | 54.5% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.20 | 55.8% | 40.87 | 56.7% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 82.65 | 44.1% | 36.41 | 54.9% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 145.39 | 41.3% | 60.00 | 57.0% |
The condition is on the daily high at station EDDB over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →