| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.76 | 49.5% | 15.23 | 49.9% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 59.76 | 48.4% | 28.91 | 49.1% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 129.23 | 46.0% | 59.47 | 47.6% |
| 18 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 140.54 | 42.7% | 60.00 | 44.4% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.63 | 39.5% | 47.31 | 41.0% |
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.87 | 37.0% | 36.19 | 38.1% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 177.31 | 33.8% | 60.00 | 35.8% |
| 25 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 162.58 | 30.1% | 49.01 | 31.9% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 229.01 | 26.2% | 60.00 | 28.5% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 277.55 | 21.6% | 60.00 | 24.0% |
The condition is on the daily high at station EDDB over its local calendar day 2026-11-12 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →