| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.01 | 69.0% | 60.00 | 30.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 23.55 | 67.8% | 15.96 | 32.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.44 | 66.6% | 52.27 | 32.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 65.19 | 65.0% | 42.39 | 34.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.97 | 63.2% | 60.00 | 35.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →