| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.06 | 56.0% | 60.00 | 57.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 78.08 | 53.8% | 41.97 | 54.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.44 | 51.9% | 38.09 | 52.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 76.59 | 50.0% | 38.29 | 50.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →