| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.93 | 56.6% | 60.00 | 42.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.20 | 54.0% | 60.00 | 44.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.00 | 52.4% | 8.90 | 47.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.37 | 47.1% | 27.04 | 47.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.34 | 52.4% | 49.44 | 46.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.47 | 50.2% | 39.43 | 48.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.72 | 49.7% | 42.57 | 50.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.53 | 50.4% | 39.60 | 48.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 47.55 | 48.9% | 23.23 | 50.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →