| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.54 | 59.3% | 16.91 | 59.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.10 | 57.6% | 60.00 | 58.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.05 | 55.0% | 60.00 | 56.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 27.13 | 53.3% | 14.47 | 53.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.65 | 45.7% | 49.61 | 53.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 37.24 | 43.9% | 16.33 | 55.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 136.32 | 41.7% | 56.89 | 56.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.70 | 58.7% | 59.11 | 59.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 54.98 | 56.8% | 31.23 | 57.5% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.97 | 54.9% | 53.80 | 56.1% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.78 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 53.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 77.68 | 49.9% | 38.74 | 50.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →