| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.91 | 72.4% | 60.00 | 73.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 84.92 | 70.7% | 60.00 | 71.5% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 87.15 | 68.8% | 60.00 | 69.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.66 | 66.9% | 60.00 | 67.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.49 | 64.9% | 60.00 | 65.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.70 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 63.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.35 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 61.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.56 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 59.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.43 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 56.7% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.12 | 52.6% | 60.00 | 54.0% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.87 | 49.6% | 60.00 | 51.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →