| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.32 | 69.3% | 27.94 | 30.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.84 | 68.1% | 50.26 | 31.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 90.56 | 66.3% | 60.00 | 32.7% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 93.51 | 64.2% | 60.00 | 34.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.86 | 61.9% | 60.00 | 36.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 100.68 | 59.6% | 60.00 | 39.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.09 | 57.1% | 60.00 | 41.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.98 | 55.2% | 27.58 | 44.2% |
| 4 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 112.86 | 53.2% | 60.00 | 45.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →