| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.98 | 65.9% | 60.00 | 67.0% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.99 | 63.8% | 60.00 | 64.9% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.40 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 62.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.30 | 59.2% | 60.00 | 60.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.81 | 56.7% | 60.00 | 58.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 111.06 | 54.0% | 60.00 | 55.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.23 | 51.2% | 60.00 | 52.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →