| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.16 | 67.3% | 60.00 | 68.3% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 91.93 | 65.3% | 60.00 | 66.3% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.05 | 63.1% | 60.00 | 64.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.62 | 60.8% | 60.00 | 62.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.71 | 58.4% | 60.00 | 59.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.44 | 55.8% | 60.00 | 57.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.96 | 53.1% | 60.00 | 54.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 119.49 | 50.2% | 60.00 | 51.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →