| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 53.94 | 48.7% | 26.26 | 49.4% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.81 | 50.5% | 60.00 | 48.0% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.29 | 49.5% | 60.00 | 51.0% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 129.48 | 46.3% | 60.00 | 48.0% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.76 | 54.7% | 23.95 | 44.7% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.71 | 53.2% | 40.31 | 45.8% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 41.39 | 51.8% | 21.43 | 47.7% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.84 | 50.5% | 29.73 | 48.7% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.40 | 48.6% | 48.26 | 50.2% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.00 | 45.9% | 53.21 | 52.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.71 | 54.2% | 60.00 | 55.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →