| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.20 | 73.9% | 60.00 | 25.3% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.02 | 72.3% | 60.00 | 26.9% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 62.53 | 70.8% | 44.27 | 28.6% |
| 15 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 69.50 | 69.4% | 48.24 | 29.9% |
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 8.03 | 68.6% | 5.51 | 31.3% |
| 20 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.07 | 30.7% | 22.15 | 31.5% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.57 | 69.7% | 22.00 | 30.0% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.43 | 68.7% | 39.48 | 30.6% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 43.58 | 67.7% | 29.48 | 31.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →