| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 15.90 | 46.2% | 7.34 | 46.4% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.72 | 53.4% | 26.55 | 46.0% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.21 | 46.8% | 14.15 | 47.2% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.30 | 52.7% | 33.91 | 46.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 118.93 | 50.4% | 60.00 | 48.1% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.49 | 50.8% | 9.90 | 51.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.34 | 49.1% | 14.89 | 50.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.33 | 48.1% | 22.29 | 51.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →