| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 131.79 | 35.9% | 47.25 | 62.6% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.89 | 64.6% | 60.00 | 65.7% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.89 | 63.1% | 20.77 | 63.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.38 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 62.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.28 | 59.2% | 60.00 | 60.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 56.86 | 57.3% | 32.59 | 58.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.53 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 56.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.24 | 52.5% | 60.00 | 53.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.80 | 50.0% | 42.92 | 51.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →