| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.33 | 58.6% | 60.00 | 59.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.79 | 57.0% | 18.12 | 57.4% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 15.23 | 43.2% | 6.58 | 56.6% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 28.50 | 56.6% | 16.14 | 57.0% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.39 | 56.1% | 9.19 | 56.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 63.09 | 55.1% | 34.76 | 55.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 85.51 | 44.6% | 38.16 | 54.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.92 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 56.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.71 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 53.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →