| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.24 | 58.9% | 42.57 | 40.2% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.72 | 57.6% | 23.44 | 41.9% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 25.37 | 56.7% | 14.40 | 42.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.29 | 55.4% | 47.78 | 43.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 38.98 | 53.8% | 20.98 | 45.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 33.71 | 52.9% | 17.84 | 46.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.59 | 51.8% | 30.33 | 47.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 98.75 | 49.8% | 49.18 | 49.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →