| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.55 | 65.1% | 31.59 | 65.6% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 94.60 | 63.4% | 60.00 | 64.5% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.09 | 61.2% | 60.00 | 62.3% |
| 37 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 102.10 | 58.8% | 60.00 | 60.0% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 106.74 | 56.2% | 60.00 | 57.5% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 112.14 | 53.5% | 60.00 | 54.9% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 57.01 | 51.4% | 29.30 | 52.1% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.05 | 49.2% | 60.00 | 50.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →