| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 89.70 | 66.9% | 60.00 | 67.9% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.54 | 64.8% | 60.00 | 65.9% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.75 | 62.7% | 60.00 | 63.8% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 99.41 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 61.5% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.62 | 57.9% | 60.00 | 59.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 108.50 | 55.3% | 60.00 | 56.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.21 | 52.5% | 60.00 | 54.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.98 | 49.6% | 60.00 | 51.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →