| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 72.18 | 68.0% | 49.10 | 68.8% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 60.14 | 66.6% | 40.03 | 67.2% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.98 | 65.0% | 53.26 | 65.9% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.36 | 62.9% | 60.00 | 64.0% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.97 | 60.6% | 60.00 | 61.8% |
| 17 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 103.11 | 58.2% | 60.00 | 59.4% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 107.90 | 55.6% | 60.00 | 56.9% |
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.51 | 52.9% | 60.00 | 54.3% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 120.14 | 49.9% | 60.00 | 51.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →