| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 83.42 | 71.9% | 60.00 | 27.2% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.53 | 70.6% | 32.85 | 28.9% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 24.13 | 69.9% | 16.86 | 29.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.37 | 68.7% | 60.00 | 30.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.91 | 66.7% | 60.00 | 32.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.77 | 64.7% | 60.00 | 34.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 96.01 | 62.5% | 60.00 | 36.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.72 | 60.2% | 60.00 | 38.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.97 | 57.7% | 60.00 | 41.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.91 | 55.1% | 60.00 | 43.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 114.70 | 52.3% | 60.00 | 46.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →