| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.91 | 67.0% | 13.33 | 32.8% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 136.17 | 31.8% | 43.27 | 33.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.23 | 30.0% | 9.66 | 30.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 138.33 | 28.2% | 39.04 | 29.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 140.54 | 25.5% | 35.82 | 26.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 275.70 | 21.8% | 60.00 | 24.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →