| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.02 | 55.3% | 45.89 | 56.3% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 113.56 | 52.8% | 60.00 | 54.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 43.92 | 50.9% | 22.34 | 51.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 55.23 | 49.6% | 27.41 | 50.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 17.58 | 50.8% | 8.94 | 48.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →