| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 64.60 | 53.8% | 34.78 | 45.4% |
| 23 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.32 | 51.6% | 60.00 | 47.0% |
| 26 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.07 | 49.1% | 41.26 | 49.9% |
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.46 | 51.0% | 38.51 | 52.0% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →