| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.54 | 56.0% | 27.16 | 43.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 71.84 | 54.5% | 39.13 | 44.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 115.07 | 52.1% | 60.00 | 46.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 48.40 | 50.1% | 24.25 | 49.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 30.91 | 49.1% | 15.18 | 50.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →