| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.35 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 41.8% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.01 | 43.4% | 34.69 | 44.3% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 63.42 | 56.8% | 36.05 | 42.4% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 40.69 | 55.6% | 22.61 | 43.9% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 44.56 | 54.5% | 24.29 | 44.9% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.56 | 45.1% | 33.20 | 46.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 110.27 | 54.4% | 60.00 | 44.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 116.29 | 51.6% | 60.00 | 47.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 123.46 | 48.6% | 60.00 | 49.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 132.11 | 45.4% | 60.00 | 52.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →