| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.10 | 68.9% | 60.00 | 30.2% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.60 | 67.0% | 60.00 | 32.1% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.42 | 64.9% | 60.00 | 34.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.62 | 62.8% | 60.00 | 36.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.26 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 38.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 103.45 | 58.0% | 60.00 | 40.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.30 | 55.4% | 60.00 | 43.3% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 113.98 | 52.6% | 60.00 | 45.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.70 | 49.7% | 60.00 | 48.8% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →