| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 13.12 | 53.1% | 6.97 | 53.3% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 32.56 | 52.6% | 17.11 | 53.0% |
| 30 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.61 | 51.5% | 26.58 | 52.1% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.80 | 49.8% | 44.18 | 50.9% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.48 | 48.2% | 18.53 | 48.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →