| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.33 | 61.0% | 60.00 | 62.2% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 35.05 | 59.4% | 20.83 | 59.8% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 62.58 | 58.2% | 36.45 | 59.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.21 | 56.5% | 46.98 | 57.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.99 | 54.1% | 60.00 | 55.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 117.15 | 51.2% | 60.00 | 52.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →