| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 46.97 | 70.4% | 33.08 | 29.1% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.94 | 69.0% | 60.00 | 30.1% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.50 | 67.1% | 58.07 | 31.9% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 92.12 | 65.1% | 60.00 | 33.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 95.28 | 63.0% | 60.00 | 35.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 72.31 | 61.0% | 44.11 | 38.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.85 | 58.9% | 60.00 | 39.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.44 | 56.4% | 60.00 | 42.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.79 | 53.7% | 60.00 | 44.9% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →