| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.42 | 63.8% | 59.62 | 64.9% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 97.42 | 61.6% | 60.00 | 62.7% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 46.16 | 59.9% | 27.64 | 60.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 33.79 | 58.9% | 19.91 | 59.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 104.85 | 57.2% | 60.00 | 58.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 109.93 | 54.6% | 60.00 | 55.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 115.90 | 51.8% | 60.00 | 53.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.98 | 48.8% | 60.00 | 50.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →