| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.03 | 52.6% | 25.28 | 53.2% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 27.53 | 47.6% | 13.11 | 52.0% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 49.24 | 46.7% | 22.98 | 52.7% |
| 33 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 75.95 | 53.0% | 40.25 | 53.9% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 48.08 | 51.5% | 24.74 | 52.1% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 19.01 | 50.6% | 9.62 | 50.9% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 122.85 | 48.8% | 60.00 | 50.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →