| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 92.69 | 64.7% | 60.00 | 65.8% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 95.92 | 62.6% | 60.00 | 63.7% |
| 27 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 38.18 | 61.0% | 23.28 | 61.4% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 101.18 | 59.3% | 60.00 | 60.5% |
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.67 | 56.8% | 60.00 | 58.1% |
| 38 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.17 | 54.1% | 59.62 | 55.5% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 116.99 | 51.3% | 60.00 | 52.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →