| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.02 | 69.8% | 60.00 | 29.3% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.39 | 67.9% | 60.00 | 31.2% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.05 | 65.9% | 60.00 | 33.1% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.07 | 63.8% | 60.00 | 35.1% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.49 | 61.5% | 60.00 | 37.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.41 | 59.2% | 60.00 | 39.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.93 | 56.6% | 60.00 | 42.1% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.20 | 54.0% | 60.00 | 44.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.40 | 51.1% | 60.00 | 47.4% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →