| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.68 | 49.7% | 60.00 | 48.8% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.17 | 51.3% | 18.57 | 51.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 70.78 | 48.2% | 34.14 | 50.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 82.90 | 51.6% | 42.79 | 52.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 36.05 | 50.1% | 18.07 | 50.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 9.91 | 49.6% | 4.91 | 49.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →