| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The station’s own daily record is what settles this market; the reference is where it listed, from the forecast re-cut on that local day.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45 min ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 120.91 | 49.6% | 60.00 | 48.9% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 29.99 | 51.5% | 15.45 | 51.9% |
| 2 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 45.68 | 48.3% | 22.06 | 51.1% |
| 4 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.32 | 46.4% | 48.88 | 52.3% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 98.31 | 53.7% | 52.77 | 54.9% |
| 6 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.38 | 47.1% | 18.53 | 52.5% |
| 7 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 24.87 | 53.1% | 13.21 | 53.4% |
| 12 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 31.01 | 52.4% | 16.26 | 52.8% |
| 13 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 39.97 | 47.5% | 18.97 | 52.0% |
| 14 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 22.92 | 46.7% | 10.70 | 53.0% |
The condition is on the daily high at station OMDB over its local calendar day 2026-11-13 - local midnight to local midnight, daylight saving applied. It settles on the station's own record from the oracle: the extreme over the METAR observations received in the window, with the observation that produced it and its raw text. Met → YES pays, not met → NO pays. The oracle decides whether the day can settle: it goes final three hours after local midnight (a corrected report can still arrive), and is settleable only if no gap between reports exceeded the station's normal interval plus 30 minutes. A final, settleable day settles on the record anchored on Flare; anything else is withheld, every position refunded at cost. Trading runs until the local day ends.
The station and its NOAA page are linked above. Settlement rules →
Resolves after 2026-11-13 20:00 UTC on the next hourly run.