| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 61.66 | 50.6% | 31.19 | 51.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 124.33 | 48.3% | 60.00 | 49.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 133.17 | 45.1% | 60.00 | 46.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 73.39 | 42.5% | 31.20 | 43.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 150.74 | 39.8% | 60.00 | 41.6% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 166.31 | 36.1% | 60.00 | 38.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 186.82 | 32.1% | 60.00 | 34.2% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 214.98 | 27.9% | 60.00 | 30.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →