| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 41.01 | 48.9% | 20.04 | 49.4% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 21.29 | 51.4% | 10.94 | 48.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.59 | 50.7% | 17.53 | 48.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 123.18 | 48.7% | 60.00 | 49.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 16.04 | 52.6% | 8.44 | 52.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 34.73 | 47.1% | 16.37 | 52.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 69.17 | 52.4% | 36.27 | 53.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →