| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 80.06 | 74.9% | 60.00 | 75.7% |
| 40 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 81.75 | 73.4% | 60.00 | 74.2% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 83.63 | 71.7% | 60.00 | 72.6% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 85.71 | 70.0% | 60.00 | 70.9% |
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 88.05 | 68.1% | 60.00 | 69.1% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 90.67 | 66.2% | 60.00 | 67.2% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 93.63 | 64.1% | 60.00 | 65.2% |
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 96.99 | 61.9% | 60.00 | 63.0% |
| 45 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 100.83 | 59.5% | 60.00 | 60.7% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 105.27 | 57.0% | 60.00 | 58.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 110.42 | 54.3% | 60.00 | 55.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 116.48 | 51.5% | 60.00 | 53.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 123.68 | 48.5% | 60.00 | 50.1% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →