| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 84.06 | 71.4% | 60.00 | 27.8% |
| 39 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 86.20 | 69.6% | 60.00 | 29.5% |
| 41 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 88.59 | 67.7% | 60.00 | 31.3% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 91.28 | 65.7% | 60.00 | 33.2% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 94.32 | 63.6% | 60.00 | 35.3% |
| 47 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 97.78 | 61.4% | 60.00 | 37.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 101.74 | 59.0% | 60.00 | 39.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 106.32 | 56.4% | 60.00 | 42.3% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 111.65 | 53.7% | 60.00 | 44.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 117.94 | 50.9% | 60.00 | 47.7% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →