| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.61 | 68.4% | 53.09 | 30.8% |
| 43 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.16 | 67.0% | 36.27 | 32.4% |
| 46 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 68.70 | 65.6% | 45.06 | 33.6% |
| 48 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 31.57 | 64.5% | 20.35 | 35.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 55.16 | 63.5% | 35.00 | 35.9% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 53.05 | 62.2% | 32.99 | 37.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 99.37 | 60.4% | 60.00 | 38.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 73.52 | 58.3% | 42.86 | 40.8% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 57.97 | 56.7% | 32.86 | 42.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 105.13 | 54.7% | 57.48 | 44.0% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.91 | 52.4% | 39.28 | 46.6% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 119.99 | 50.0% | 60.00 | 48.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →