| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 58.62 | 65.9% | 38.63 | 33.4% |
| 24 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 78.67 | 64.3% | 50.62 | 34.8% |
| 28 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 50.33 | 62.9% | 31.63 | 36.6% |
| 29 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 61.10 | 61.5% | 37.60 | 37.7% |
| 32 h ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 30.89 | 38.8% | 11.99 | 39.2% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →