| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 h ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 108.79 | 55.2% | 60.00 | 43.5% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 19.19 | 53.6% | 10.28 | 46.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 12.84 | 46.5% | 5.97 | 46.7% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 87.16 | 52.6% | 45.81 | 46.4% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 89.75 | 50.4% | 45.19 | 48.5% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →