| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 114.60 | 52.4% | 60.00 | 53.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 121.44 | 49.4% | 60.00 | 50.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | YES | Buy | 51.41 | 47.2% | 24.29 | 47.9% |
| 3 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 54.31 | 52.7% | 28.63 | 46.6% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →