| Side | Shares | Cost | Value | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
| NO | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | - |
The consensus is what settles this market at the target hour; the forecast is what the market maker priced from.
| Time | Trader | Side | Action | Shares | Avg price | Amount | After |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 74.63 | 80.4% | 60.00 | 19.0% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 75.77 | 79.2% | 60.00 | 20.2% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 77.02 | 77.9% | 60.00 | 21.4% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 59.45 | 76.7% | 45.60 | 22.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 79.54 | 75.4% | 60.00 | 23.8% |
| 2 d ago | cmucnr… | NO | Buy | 81.17 | 73.9% | 60.00 | 25.3% |
Settles on a Weather Data Market determination: met → YES pays 1 sUSDT/share, not met → NO pays 1 sUSDT/share, withheld → void, every position refunded at cost. Determinations are final. Consensus rule parameters are proprietary; every run is hashed and anchored on-chain.
Trading closes one hour before the target hour. Prices come from an LMSR market maker (b = liquidity); there is no order book and no counterparty. Settlement rules →